Fire Firebloom BurnTier 1
at DeckaDice DTR Store Champs!
decks
2
(14.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14
8-6-0
overall winrate
57.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.7%
avg ELO -0.1 per match
expected value
50.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1356
· median 1356
· range 1210–1502
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1002
Q1 1186
Q3 1394
1502
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 42.9% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 42.1% | -4.5 |
| Fire Exia | 14.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.0% | -2.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 14.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +12.9 |
| Fire Oblation | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.6% | -16.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | +16.0 |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.6 |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.6 |
| Water Genbu | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.4 |
| Wind Allies | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.0% | +4.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
